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  Diabetes Complications

Macrovascular and microvascular complications of diabetes result from the slow progression of vascular damage caused by chronic hyperglycemia. The pathological manifestations of diabetes complications include blindness, kidney failure, nerve damage, and heart disease. Although high blood glucose is clearly associated with the development or progression of complications, some patients with poor glucose control never develop complications while some with apparently good control develop severe complications. Also, susceptibility to complications is higher in some families than others. This suggests that there are factors other than glucose that influence susceptibility to diabetes complications.

We and others have shown that there is biological variation in glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels in human populations that is not attributable to blood glucose levels. In essence, people with similar mean blood glucose levels can have different HbA1c levels, some higher and some lower than average for the population. Most recently we have also shown that the severity of vascular complications of diabetes is related to biological variation in HbA1c levels. The goal of this project is to understand genetic and environmental factors in addition to glucose that influence individual susceptibility to both hemoglobin glycation and diabetes complications in humans and mouse models. Our prior studies are outlined below.

Study 1: Evidence of Biological Variation in HbA1c - the Children’s Hospital Study

High and low hemoglobin glycation phenotypes in type 1 diabetes: a challenge for interpretation of glycemic control. Hempe, J.M., Gomez R., McCarter R. & Chalew S.A. Journal of Diabetes and its Complications 16:313-320, 2002.


Panel A shows the simple linear regression for all 682 pairs of total MBG and HbA1c observations from all type 1 diabetic patients in the study. There was significant correlation between MBG and HbA1c (HbA1c=0.027×MBG + 5.8, r=0.71, p<0.0001) but also wide variability in the population HbA1c response to MBG. We evaluated the results from individual patients over time to determine if the population variation was random or due to between-individual variation. Panel B shows the paired HbA1c and MBG results for three different patients over the 2.3 year study with HbA1c levels that consistently tracked above (), near (), or below () the population regression line.

To quantify individual effects we used the population regression equation to calculate a Hemoglobin Glycation Index (HGI = observed HbA1c – predicted HbA1c) to quantify the magnitude and direction of the difference between each patient’s set of observed and predicted HbA1c results. Likelihood ratio tests and T-statistics showed that mean HGI were significantly different among individuals, and that 29% of the patients had HbA1c levels that were statistically significantly higher or lower than predicted by the regression equation.

These results show that MBG and HbA1c are not necessarily interchangeable estimates of glycemic control. They also show that human populations are made up of individuals with different hemoglobin glycation phenotypes, i.e. high, moderate, or low “glycators” that can be identified based on the relationship between HbA1c and MBG.

Study 2: Biological Variation in HbA1c is Associated with Risk of Diabetes Complications - Analysis of Data from the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial

Biological Variation in Glycated Hemoglobin Predicts Risk of Retinopathy and Nephropathy in Type 1 Diabetes. McCarter R., Hempe, J.M., Gomez R. & Chalew S.A. Accepted for publication in Diabetes Care.

Panel A shows the variability in the relationship between MBG and HbA1c in the DCCT population. Panel B shows the paired HbA1c and MBG results for three different patients over the 9 year study with HbA1c levels that consistently tracked above (), near (), or below () the population regression line. Panel C shows the relationship between HGI and risk of retinopathy. Panel D shows the relationship between HGI and risk of nephropathy.

Using the DCCT data we developed a longitudinal multiple regression model from MBG and HbA1c measured in the 1441 DCCT participants at quarterly visits. As in the Children’s Hospital study, a Hemoglobin Glycation Index (HGI = observed HbA1c – predicted HbA1c) was calculated for each patient for each clinic visit to assess biological variation based on the directional deviation of observed HbA1c from that predicted by MBG in the model. The population was subdivided by thirds into high, moderate, and low HGI groups based on mean participant HGI during the study. Cox proportional hazard analysis compared risk for development or progression of retinopathy and nephropathy between HGI groups controlled for MBG, age, treatment group, strata, and duration of diabetes.

Likelihood ratio tests and T-statistics showed that mean HGI were significantly different among individuals, and that 57% of the patients had HbA1c levels that were statistically significantly higher or lower than predicted by the regression equation. At seven years follow-up, patients in the high HGI group (higher than predicted HbA1c) had three times greater risk of retinopathy (30% vs. 9%, p<0.001) and six times greater risk of nephropathy (6% vs. 1%, p<0.001) compared to the low HGI group. We conclude that between-individual biological variation in HbA1c, distinct from that attributable to MBG, was evident among type 1 diabetes patients in the DCCT and was a strong predictor of risk for diabetes complications. Identification of the processes responsible for biological variation in HbA1c could lead to novel therapies to augment treatments directed at lowering blood glucose levels and prevent diabetes complications.

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